![]() Even while there are major questions along the offensive line, Tennessee upgraded at receiver with the addition of DeAndre Hopkins and maintains a clear coaching advantage with Mike Vrabel over Saints head coach Dennis Allen. Now, Ryan Tannehill is healthy to start 2023 and he raises the floor of the Titans offense considerably. The Titans had just about everything go wrong in the home stretch of the 2022 season from injuries to a seven-game losing streak to lose the division. You could argue he’s the most valuable non-QB in the entire NFL. This leaves the Chiefs dangerously shorthanded from an offensive explosiveness perspective. The Chiefs offense appears likely to be without Travis Kelce after he hyperextended his knee on Tuesday. The group was fifth in offensive DVOA last year and made changes to improve its porous secondary and run defense. Detroit returns its entire offensive personnel, including offensive coordinator Ben Johnson. Jared Goff will be comfortable in the pocket as a result, and the Lions offense should be able to cook. He was an All-Pro at generating pressure, and the Chiefs don't have much depth behind him. The defense will be without its most important player: Chris Jones. ![]() The Chiefs are 15-28 ATS when laying 3.5 or more points OVER the last three seasons. But Patrick Mahomes' struggles to get margin and cover big spreads with the Chiefs are well-documented now in the betting space. ![]() Reid is 7-3 ATS and 9-1 straight-up (SU) in season openers, per Evan Abrams. The defending Super Bowl champion never seems to lose in this spot, and Andy Reid always has some new wrinkles dialed up for Week 1. Unless Indy somehow drifted to +6 or Jacksonville went back to -3, as it was briefly in the summer, I'm passing. Indianapolis was 0-4-1 in Week 1 under Reich against the spread (ATS). The Colts are starting their seventh quarterback in the last seven season openers, and they've been notoriously slow starters. Trevor Lawrence took a clear step forward in the second half of last season to power the Jaguars to a division title, but the defense will hold Jacksonville back from taking a real step into the AFC's elite. Jacksonville's defense has major holes - this is the same defense that allowed 389 pass yards to a solidly washed Matt Ryan in this same matchup in the same building last year. The Colts offensive line has major question marks and Richardson's underdeveloped accuracy will make passing downs a real challenge for the Colts. There will be problems though given how raw Richardson is. ![]() Anthony Richardson showed flashes of poised pocket play in the preseason and the Colts should have good success using run-pass options and read-options concept with the offense immediately. I'm lower than the market on both teams, and this is a high-variance contest because of the uncertainty on the Indianapolis side. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |